College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. Florida Atlantic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72544317201b15fc25948cd22228983362125986eaf24826a4876788888872eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, Florida Atlantic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc684…2228backed Florida Atlantic | 27c | 6,305$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.76 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Florida Atlantic | 18c | 2,899$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.78 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Memphis | 71c | 2,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida Atlantic | 18c | 1,628$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.03 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 1,189$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 980$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 918.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis | 74c | 805.63$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 611.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…38c8backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 462.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Florida Atlantic | 18c | 379.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 302.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Florida Atlantic | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida Atlantic | 33c | 275.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Memphis | 77c | 255.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Florida Atlantic | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Memphis | 61c | 168.52$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Memphis | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Florida Atlantic | 28c | 109.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida Atlantic | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Memphis | 75c | 81.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis vs. Florida Atlanticthis page
- Spread: Memphis (-13.5)Memphis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.