College Football · resolved market
Kentucky vs. South Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dfee592c5e92a3582a666314f3941d608074be8db7aaef6533dbf0e4a549fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolinaof Kentucky, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Carolina | 62c | 4,871$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.39 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed South Carolina | 59c | 3,870$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.92 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kentucky | 33c | 3,638$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.35 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky | 32c | 3,324$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kentucky | 51c | 2,671$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.16 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kentucky | 43c | 2,405$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.6 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed South Carolina | 51c | 2,375$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.17 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kentucky | 35c | 2,059$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.68 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked South Carolina | 67c | 1,677$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.29 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed South Carolina | 65c | 1,570$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kentucky | 40c | 1,540$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Carolina | 66c | 1,214$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.52 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Kentucky | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed South Carolina | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kentucky | 34c | 811$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kentucky | 34c | 768$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked South Carolina | 65c | 731.95$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.18 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Carolina | 60c | 589.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Carolina | 62c | 515.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked South Carolina | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Kentucky | 36c | 492.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed South Carolina | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked South Carolina | 64c | 376.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kentucky | 33c | 373$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Kentucky | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…a6a5backed Kentucky | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed South Carolina | 67c | 287.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…fc8ebacked Kentucky | 33c | 230.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Kentucky | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked South Carolina | 51c | 187.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed South Carolina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kentucky | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kentucky | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Kentucky | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked South Carolina | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked South Carolina | 66c | 96.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kentucky | 42c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kentucky | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked South Carolina | 65c | 61.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Carolina | 67c | 56.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Kentucky | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed South Carolina | 66c | 36.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed South Carolina | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky vs. South Carolinathis page
- O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: South Carolina (-6.5)South Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.