College Football · resolved market
California vs. Boston College
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36b6bedf24f602fe1a1bfe666b16ab5e4e7c4ebc8eac271e4a63d7b6c98587a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Californiaof California, Boston College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked California | 33c | 15,029$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,074.55 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Boston College | 72c | 6,878$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.03 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Boston College | 67c | 1,525$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.13 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked California | 33c | 1,134$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.78 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed California | 72c | 1,020$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Boston College | 67c | 1,010$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed California | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed California | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California | 35c | 954.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.86 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California | 61c | 630$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.78 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston College | 51c | 551$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Boston College | 13c | 411.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Boston College | 66c | 325.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked California | 33c | 291.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed California | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California | 69c | 226.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Boston College | 67c | 222.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed California | 36c | 197.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed California | 74c | 175.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Boston College | 66c | 164.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Boston College | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed California | 33c | 155$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Boston College | 66c | 151.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed California | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Boston College | 67c | 129$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed California | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed California | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Boston College | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked California | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked California | 33c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Boston College | 65c | 44.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Boston College | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Boston College | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California vs. Boston Collegethis page
- O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.