Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07eac09620334648bd153d2cad8e04cb9981be144e0fb54a33beff6cb8e77365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Virginia Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 13,140$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.3 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 8,128$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 71c | 6,631$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.47 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 5,221$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.3 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 5,005$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.38 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 69c | 2,121$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 1,824$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 1,023$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 78c | 1,016$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 4c | 811.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 76c | 645.83$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 476.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 14c | 429.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 22c | 422.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 416.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 397.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 342.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 307.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 282.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 273.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 199.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 198.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 185.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 178.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 77c | 153.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 144.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c61…c54fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 136.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 71c | 120.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 108.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 100.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Cavaliers | 78c | 99.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 99.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 96.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 92.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 82.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 82.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 18c | 78.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 67.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 62.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…64d0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 55.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb359…c49cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 31c | 54.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 49.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…21c4backed Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 48.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 48.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virginia Cavaliers | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Virginia Cavaliers | 72c | 37.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 36.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…5189backed Virginia Cavaliers | 71c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…70dcbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…60efbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…74d9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 19.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…83a2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…1146backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 17.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…4bf4backed Virginia Cavaliers | 70c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…2477backed Virginia Cavaliers | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…cf14backed Virginia Cavaliers | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersthis page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 150.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 151.5Under won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-6.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.