Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a2f9d0f2e12df7e7c7b7a214e921a3e6633c49a35d69a482a476f79a5d2ac7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtanenof Virtanen, Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Virtanen | 65c | 5,979$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vukic | 39c | 4,525$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.12 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Vukic | 44c | 4,223$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.45 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vukic | 5c | 3,917$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Virtanen | 57c | 3,520$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.74 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…d2a1backed Virtanen | 56c | 1,911$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…c819backed Vukic | 44c | 1,904$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Virtanen | 56c | 1,795$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.58 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Vukic | 16c | 1,775$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Vukic | 39c | 1,466$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.79 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vukic | 40c | 1,417$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.91 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Virtanen | 57c | 1,233$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Vukic | 43c | 1,228$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.49 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Vukic | 44c | 1,135$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Virtanen | 56c | 1,117$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.48 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vukic | 41c | 1,080$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vukic | 42c | 804.1$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Vukic | 45c | 798.8$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vukic | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtanen | 57c | 704.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Vukic | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…ce8cbacked Vukic | 45c | 676.43$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Virtanen | 68c | 645.85$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Vukic | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Virtanen | 55c | 596.27$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vukic | 42c | 494$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Virtanen | 65c | 413.21$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vukic | 30c | 362.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Vukic | 6c | 354$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 26c | 313.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Vukic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Vukic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Vukic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Virtanen | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Virtanen | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Virtanen | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Virtanen | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Virtanen | 57c | 157.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtanen | 55c | 148.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ff26backed Virtanen | 64c | 136.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Virtanen | 54c | 133.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Virtanen | 69c | 129.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Vukic | 42c | 127.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Vukic | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtanen | 80c | 119.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Vukic | 25c | 117.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Vukic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Virtanen | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Virtanen | 59c | 96.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Virtanen | 56c | 95.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Vukic | 17c | 92.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Virtanen | 57c | 75.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Virtanen | 55c | 72.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtanen | 54c | 68.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Virtanen | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Virtanen | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vukic | 39c | 51.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Vukic | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Vukic | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Vukic | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Virtanen | 75c | 42.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…6c86backed Virtanen | 68c | 42.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Virtanen | 54c | 39.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Vukic | 46c | 38.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Vukic | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Vukic | 46c | 34.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Virtanen | 56c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Virtanen | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Virtanen | 56c | 25.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Vukic | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.