MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06eee031802392a9009a256a97eca2ed7e2976c0933cef6f65e0429f37a361ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Nationals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 42c | 19,261$8,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,089.71 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 42c | 17,426$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,294.66 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Marlins | 58c | 17,234$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.48 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 49c | 15,527$7,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,568.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 58c | 10,003$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.55 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 47c | 9,030$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.7 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 41c | 8,215$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.32 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 57c | 7,401$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.59 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 61c | 5,907$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 58c | 5,018$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 59c | 4,994$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.63 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 58c | 4,001$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.71 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Marlins | 59c | 3,662$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.58 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 44c | 3,356$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 58c | 3,215$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.28 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 57c | 2,216$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Marlins | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 57c | 1,551$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.76 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 58c | 1,492$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.55 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 43c | 1,310$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Nationals | 35c | 1,243$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.83 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Nationals | 8c | 986.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 58c | 888.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 59c | 677$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 49c | 645.29$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.11 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Nationals | 43c | 629.47$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.67 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 3c | 615.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.36 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 28c | 542.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 72c | 505.3$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Marlins | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 43c | 450.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 73c | 404.46$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marlins | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Marlins | 60c | 351.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Nationals | 26c | 349.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 59c | 328.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 53c | 318.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Marlins | 76c | 311$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Nationals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Marlins | 58c | 261.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins | 59c | 246.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 59c | 240.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Marlins | 37c | 222.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nationals | 56c | 207$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Nationals | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Nationals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Nationals | 41c | 198.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Marlins | 59c | 181.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Marlins | 59c | 174.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Marlins | 59c | 174.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Marlins | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Marlins | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nationals | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Nationals | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…df7abacked Nationals | 54c | 139.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Nationals | 47c | 133$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Nationals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…abb6backed Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nationals | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nationals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Marlins | 59c | 94.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Marlins | 59c | 84.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Nationals | 43c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Marlins | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Nationals | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Nationals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Nationals | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Marlins | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Nationals | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Marlins | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Nationals | 41c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Nationals | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…766cbacked Nationals | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…d03dbacked Nationals | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Marlins | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Marlinsthis page
- Nationals vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.