Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e57107e1655c5437b3a5d2368e8b4161933ea55d7d47c0c29285abc197b484b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed IU Indy Jaguars | 49c | 5,654$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.84 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 3,618$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 2,089$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.77 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 51c | 1,643$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 762.51$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 762.51$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 296.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 281.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 257.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 213.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 189.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 167.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 156.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 51c | 128.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed IU Indy Jaguars | 50c | 113.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 103.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 93.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 92.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed IU Indy Jaguars | 50c | 92.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 49c | 79.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…221dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 73.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed IU Indy Jaguars | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 52c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-5.5)this page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy JaguarsOakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 167.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 169.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-6.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.