Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbf4c55ec0012235baeb52bd551354de8ba6df1af75ff50b4c6a22a2e6ff7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 5,893$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 1,376$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 999.35$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 843.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked IU Indy Jaguars | 7c | 648.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 556.52$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 72c | 547.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 517.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 13c | 511.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 510.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 499.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 69c | 399.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 391.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 273.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars | 9c | 272.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 249.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 32c | 248.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 21c | 232.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 80c | 223.34$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 199.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 199.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 195.76$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 169.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 168.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 75c | 151.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 151.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 135.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 133.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 130.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 82.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 77.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 70.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 49.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefd…cbc2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…97d8backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 80c | 24.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguarsthis page
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 167.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 169.5Under won
- Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-5.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-6.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.