TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Choinskiof Choinski, Jong
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,601 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf588…2b81backed Choinski79c7,729$6,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.3181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Jong39c5,575$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003778.4%29 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jong17c4,089$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Jong28c3,568$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99930241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Jong16c1,995$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.811530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Jong69c1,950$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35014568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jong19c1,513$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Choinski33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.971,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Choinski31c1,363$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.4676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…4587backed Choinski76c1,220$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Choinski30c1,196$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.774,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Choinski70c1,091$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.394,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jong28c1,055$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Jong24c896.83$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9312631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Jong24c834.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.161,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Jong21c810$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.418636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Jong25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Choinski40c790$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47439431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Jong29c784$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4353644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Jong18c676.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7247946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…965cbacked Jong22c613.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.932133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Jong20c593$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.665558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Choinski32c587.39$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.971,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Choinski72c571$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.431,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Choinski29c520.89$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3318447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jong20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Choinski30c469.4$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.581,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Choinski37c459.41$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.536,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Jong22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Jong22c437.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Jong69c431.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8456…e61abacked Jong13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Choinski34c364.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Choinski65c358.93$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.692,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Jong33c350$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6414947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Choinski58c344.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.435048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Jong20c343.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0820515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Choinski77c331.65$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Choinski36c321.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.719040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jong13c317.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Jong25c308.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8428952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Jong69c287.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Choinski30c273.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.063,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Choinski61c239.71$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.842,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Choinski65c212.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9118663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Jong56c200.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0111347.8%54 W · 59 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Jong25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Jong22c178.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2860943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Choinski36c168.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2820643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Jong67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Jong67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Choinski33c141.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.357,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Jong71c141.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Jong68c140$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.258753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Jong36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Choinski79c126.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.123180.6%25 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Choinski80c125.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1352460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Jong28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24be…8d08backed Jong44c114.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Choinski36c111.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.225345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jong23c104$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.433,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Jong65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6577967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Choinski71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Jong24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.985147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Jong67c89.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Choinski56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2917262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Choinski78c88.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.495156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Choinski67c86.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Jong75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Choinski32c76.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0315343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Choinski67c71.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.267,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Choinski28c62.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3327539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Jong62c59.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.362,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Jong70c56.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.544761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jong61c50.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.544,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Jong29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9258438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Choinski34c46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.326349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6c…1c75backed Jong66c45.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307374%54 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Jong68c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.453565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Jong69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Choinski35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2628462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Choinski79c38.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2715752.2%82 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Jong67c32.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Jong67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Jong67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155164.7%33 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Jong70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Jong67c17.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Jong69c16.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1258067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc2…02a9backed Choinski79c16.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.