MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c87617c2e4f27cc34069e51e7366358f3dcd8f810d5c57ca8b475f01c6146ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 47c | 20,238$9,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 60c | 13,835$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 62c | 8,542$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.34 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Marlins | 52c | 8,240$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 49c | 6,641$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 52c | 6,172$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.21 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Nationals | 46c | 5,006$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 27c | 4,850$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.98 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Marlins | 54c | 4,123$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Marlins | 53c | 3,105$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.65 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 53c | 2,753$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.21 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 37c | 2,405$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 51c | 2,253$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Marlins | 55c | 1,828$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 46c | 1,774$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.22 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 53c | 1,680$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Marlins | 53c | 1,595$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.46 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 21c | 1,509$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.63 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 53c | 1,448$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marlins | 52c | 1,366$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 20c | 1,340$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 72c | 1,280$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.38 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins | 30c | 1,052$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 1c | 1,025$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 38c | 957.96$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 7c | 793.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Marlins | 51c | 753.95$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 11c | 695.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 47c | 545.13$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.92 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 3c | 543.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 52c | 524.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.35 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Marlins | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 76c | 499.96$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 45c | 496.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.98 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 77c | 461.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Marlins | 52c | 461.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.02 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nationals | 48c | 415.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 51c | 321.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…5faabacked Nationals | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Marlins | 53c | 312.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…0a51backed Marlins | 53c | 309.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 52c | 292$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Nationals | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nationals | 75c | 276.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 75c | 263.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Marlins | 53c | 230.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…ad77backed Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…289fbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…142bbacked Marlins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…b3a6backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…7b28backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…0c40backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…584fbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…ec88backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…3f24backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…e732backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d6bbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…ed41backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…32dfbacked Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…dcc6backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…7238backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…6a97backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Nationals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Marlinsthis page
- Nationals vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.