College Football · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc355b3042288584c781d6a888107cd014422aae9ebf2534029168c8b5e3e6dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Arkansas, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arkansas | 35c | 29,011$10,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,214.94 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ole Miss | 64c | 24,621$15,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,828.08 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Arkansas | 36c | 16,214$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Ole Miss | 63c | 11,710$7,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Arkansas | 37c | 9,756$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Arkansas | 35c | 5,907$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas | 29c | 3,017$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.12 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Ole Miss | 76c | 2,516$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.87 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ole Miss | 71c | 2,482$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.57 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ole Miss | 72c | 2,128$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.72 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ole Miss | 77c | 2,050$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.74 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arkansas | 12c | 1,866$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Arkansas | 30c | 1,514$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.65 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Arkansas | 35c | 1,297$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Arkansas | 37c | 1,091$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Arkansas | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ole Miss | 71c | 941.98$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.31 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Ole Miss | 65c | 869.99$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Arkansas | 38c | 852.59$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.51 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Ole Miss | 74c | 726.27$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ole Miss | 70c | 600.25$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ole Miss | 72c | 593$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Ole Miss | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Ole Miss | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ole Miss | 65c | 433.2$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…6badbacked Ole Miss | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Ole Miss | 63c | 353.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Ole Miss | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ole Miss | 76c | 341$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Ole Miss | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Ole Miss | 62c | 320.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Ole Miss | 77c | 311.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ole Miss | 61c | 308$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed Arkansas | 21c | 285.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Arkansas | 28c | 274.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Ole Miss | 67c | 250$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Ole Miss | 62c | 240.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Ole Miss | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Ole Miss | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Arkansas | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arkansas | 38c | 193.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Arkansas | 28c | 178.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arkansas | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Ole Miss | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Ole Miss | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ole Miss | 67c | 148.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Arkansas | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Arkansas | 43c | 138.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Arkansas | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Ole Miss | 77c | 129.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss | 69c | 128.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ole Miss | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Ole Miss | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Arkansas | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arkansas | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arkansas | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Arkansas | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Ole Miss | 67c | 97.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Ole Miss | 76c | 94.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Ole Miss | 73c | 94.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Ole Miss | 76c | 91.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Ole Miss | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Arkansas | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Ole Miss | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Arkansas | 42c | 72.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas | 37c | 65.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Ole Miss | 67c | 56.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Ole Miss | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…d7e8backed Arkansas | 32c | 54.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Arkansas | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Arkansas | 31c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Ole Miss | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Arkansas | 34c | 38.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…7767backed Ole Miss | 76c | 36.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Ole Miss | 70c | 35.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Arkansas | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…4e23backed Ole Miss | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Ole Miss | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Ole Miss | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Ole Miss | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Ole Miss | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Ole Miss | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2e03backed Arkansas | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Ole Miss | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Ole Miss | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…cf33backed Ole Miss | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…00b4backed Ole Miss | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed Ole Miss | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…b45ebacked Ole Miss | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas vs. Ole Missthis page
- Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5)Arkansas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.