College Football · resolved market
Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa896f7e0e82e26e7850aae45025419bcdacb2dc2a3cf1ac2a16f3fb7d37df01a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominionof Old Dominion, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Old Dominion | 28c | 2,148$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.23 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Old Dominion | 26c | 1,966$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.02 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Virginia Tech | 72c | 1,945$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.07 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Virginia Tech | 74c | 1,485$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.47 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech | 71c | 1,481$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.69 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Tech | 72c | 1,475$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.8 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Old Dominion | 28c | 1,332$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.38 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virginia Tech | 69c | 1,135$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.3 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Old Dominion | 29c | 663.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.61 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Old Dominion | 48c | 422.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.44 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…6badbacked Old Dominion | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Old Dominion | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Old Dominion | 32c | 292$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Old Dominion | 36c | 213.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Virginia Tech | 69c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Old Dominion | 31c | 199$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech | 46c | 171.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia Tech | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked Virginia Tech | 74c | 97.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Old Dominion | 32c | 95.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Old Dominion | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Old Dominion | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Old Dominion | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Old Dominion | 33c | 72.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Virginia Tech | 74c | 58.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…cefabacked Old Dominion | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 56.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Virginia Tech | 74c | 54.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Virginia Tech | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Old Dominion | 57c | 46.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Old Dominion | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…bcd4backed Old Dominion | 33c | 31.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 30.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Old Dominion | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…15debacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…647bbacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Virginia Tech | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…2759backed Virginia Tech | 70c | 21.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…f3ccbacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed Virginia Tech | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…2d20backed Virginia Tech | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion vs. Virginia Techthis page
- Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-5.5)Old Dominion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.