Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0abe4d025210bd788cbdf0ab942c42d7a0e0daf22b639c3feeeedbd972f9bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Northern Kentucky Norse, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 25c | 18,392$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.73 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 10,275$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.75 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 2,995$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 28c | 1,769$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 1,741$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 57c | 898.14$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 753.61$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 704$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 671.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 25c | 610.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 600.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 64c | 506.28$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 501.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 462$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 4c | 452.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 25c | 387.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 70c | 376.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 13c | 375.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 370$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 342.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 335.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 39c | 322$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 319.66$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Youngstown State Penguins | 76c | 300.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed Youngstown State Penguins | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 46c | 218.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 212$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 196.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 190.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 39c | 168.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 14c | 128.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 65c | 123.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 110.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…c654backed Youngstown State Penguins | 63c | 92.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…afc4backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 87.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 79c | 80.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Youngstown State Penguins | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 34c | 67.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 42.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Youngstown State Penguins | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 37c | 31.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Youngstown State Penguins | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Youngstown State Penguins | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…bf1fbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 151.5Under won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 152.5Under won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-3.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.