Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fbc33f7334717f2c279f65822d30afbe0864db138bd345cf83ff45bab19f32e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 29,249$14,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,378.14 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 15,566$7,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed VCU Rams | 49c | 11,255$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.74 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed VCU Rams | 49c | 4,064$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.53 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed VCU Rams | 49c | 2,996$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.13 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 2,974$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.17 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 2,820$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.6 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked VCU Rams | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed VCU Rams | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed VCU Rams | 49c | 1,833$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.1 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed VCU Rams | 49c | 1,363$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed VCU Rams | 49c | 1,092$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.28 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 995.81$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.94 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 845.19$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 49c | 730.69$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 684.85$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VCU Rams | 48c | 634$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed VCU Rams | 49c | 609.62$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 566.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 452.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.63 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 399.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.54 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed VCU Rams | 48c | 375.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed VCU Rams | 49c | 374.69$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed VCU Rams | 50c | 365.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed VCU Rams | 49c | 298.73$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed VCU Rams | 49c | 286.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed VCU Rams | 49c | 285.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 274.23$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed VCU Rams | 49c | 267.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 218.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed VCU Rams | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed VCU Rams | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked VCU Rams | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 188.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed VCU Rams | 49c | 163.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked VCU Rams | 48c | 145.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed VCU Rams | 49c | 101.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed VCU Rams | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed VCU Rams | 49c | 96.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 94.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 81.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed VCU Rams | 49c | 70.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed VCU Rams | 49c | 70.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VCU Rams | 48c | 61.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed VCU Rams | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked VCU Rams | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed VCU Rams | 50c | 51.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed VCU Rams | 49c | 48.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked VCU Rams | 48c | 43.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed VCU Rams | 49c | 42.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked VCU Rams | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…5945backed VCU Rams | 50c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 33.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed VCU Rams | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 30.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked VCU Rams | 50c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed VCU Rams | 49c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed VCU Rams | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams | 70c | 19.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 163.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 165.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.