Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d25051fa431a022967095e69940bc2e01096c69a9c62ae7b7bdc547919ee53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 16,467$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,742.37 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 8,895$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed VCU Rams | 53c | 2,982$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.42 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked VCU Rams | 53c | 2,145$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.8 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed VCU Rams | 53c | 1,413$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.67 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed VCU Rams | 54c | 1,024$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 53c | 862.41$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed VCU Rams | 52c | 742.33$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.01 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed VCU Rams | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked VCU Rams | 53c | 467.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed VCU Rams | 53c | 467.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 406.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 396.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed VCU Rams | 53c | 367.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed VCU Rams | 53c | 355.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 287.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked VCU Rams | 54c | 275.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 227.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…c024backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 223.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 183.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 180$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed VCU Rams | 53c | 170.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked VCU Rams | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed VCU Rams | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 107.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 105.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 102.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed VCU Rams | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed VCU Rams | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed VCU Rams | 53c | 86.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 71.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 65.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed VCU Rams | 52c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…dd65backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked VCU Rams | 53c | 40.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked VCU Rams | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 32.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams | 54c | 18.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 163.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 165.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.