Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Wenfei Yu vs Yuyao Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77647993d738e0a286399e8c20c4faa12214b17bae74ce222a7108ed06cac0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuyao Liof Wenfei Yu, Yuyao Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Wenfei Yu | 58c | 688.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yuyao Li | 63c | 584.6$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yuyao Li | 43c | 312$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1ed0backed Yuyao Li | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuyao Li | 41c | 248.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wenfei Yu | 21c | 227.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wenfei Yu | 35c | 177$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuyao Li | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yuyao Li | 46c | 156.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Wenfei Yu | 54c | 155$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Wenfei Yu | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Yuyao Li | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Wenfei Yu | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Wenfei Yu | 36c | 57.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Wenfei Yu | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yuyao Li | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Wenfei Yu | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Wenfei Yu | 46c | 42.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yuyao Li | 44c | 36.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Wenfei Yu | 72c | 22.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuyao Li | 53c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.