Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs Schoenhaus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900975e2ef71948d48bca5a7ad328cda456963116ab7c051de65a943f5a82d62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Schoenhausof Dellien, Schoenhaus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dellien | 37c | 19,038$7,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,104.8 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Schoenhaus | 51c | 12,655$6,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.2 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Schoenhaus | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dellien | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Schoenhaus | 50c | 978.7$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dellien | 50c | 926.7$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.35 | 419 | 41.1%172 W · 247 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Dellien | 4c | 872.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Dellien | 18c | 747.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Schoenhaus | 53c | 516.17$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dellien | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Schoenhaus | 75c | 493.28$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Dellien | 49c | 392.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d696backed Schoenhaus | 51c | 275.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +938.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dellien | 52c | 241.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Schoenhaus | 77c | 212$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…61bebacked Schoenhaus | 51c | 202.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Schoenhaus | 48c | 184.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Dellien | 58c | 172.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…3fcdbacked Schoenhaus | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Schoenhaus | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…1ed0backed Schoenhaus | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…862abacked Schoenhaus | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…dac0backed Schoenhaus | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Schoenhaus | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Schoenhaus | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Schoenhaus | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Schoenhaus | 51c | 58.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Dellien | 39c | 42.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Schoenhaus | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Schoenhaus | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Schoenhaus | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Schoenhaus | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Schoenhaus | 51c | 25.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Schoenhaus | 63c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Schoenhaus | 50c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…180ebacked Schoenhaus | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs Schoenhausthis page
- Dellien vs. Schoenhaus: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Dellien vs. Schoenhaus: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Dellien vs. Schoenhaus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Dellien vs. Schoenhaus: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Heilbronn: Hugo Dellien vs Max SchoenhausMax Schoenhaus won
- Hugo Dellien vs. Max Schoenhaus: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.