CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3b800fa37c1224fc196ad81e8587d4c50963e4c2ab128a8c4a45857c46e6c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Misa Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 2,767$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 44c | 2,529$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.97 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Lilmix | 59c | 2,411$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.24 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 2,122$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.22 | 226 | 41.2%93 W · 133 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lilmix | 52c | 1,484$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.37 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 31c | 1,481$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.93 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lilmix | 57c | 1,356$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.84 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lilmix | 42c | 1,310$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.89 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Misa Esports | 55c | 998.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Misa Esports | 30c | 813.94$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 57c | 617.2$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Misa Esports | 47c | 603.96$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Lilmix | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lilmix | 43c | 520$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.86 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Lilmix | 45c | 489$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 44c | 476.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Misa Esports | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Lilmix | 37c | 391.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lilmix | 43c | 370.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Misa Esports | 48c | 345.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lilmix | 53c | 327.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 228.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lilmix | 50c | 224.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 45c | 221.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Misa Esports | 24c | 219.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 218.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 35c | 206$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Lilmix | 44c | 201.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Lilmix | 59c | 199.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 50c | 184.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed Lilmix | 39c | 179.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 64c | 166.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 163.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Lilmix | 75c | 159.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lilmix | 45c | 159.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lilmix | 68c | 147.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Misa Esports | 34c | 147.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 125.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 106.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix | 49c | 103.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Lilmix | 44c | 98.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Lilmix | 44c | 84.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Misa Esports | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 404 | 55.4%224 W · 180 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Lilmix | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 69c | 73.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Lilmix | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c19bbacked Misa Esports | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Misa Esports | 24c | 55.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Lilmix | 71c | 49.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Lilmix | 69c | 43.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Lilmix | 45c | 39.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 75c | 38.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1a92backed Misa Esports | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Misa Esports | 52c | 35.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Lilmix | 45c | 34.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Misa Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Misa Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix | 65c | 32.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lilmix | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Lilmix | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 20.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Lilmix | 57c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.