CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843a570fef1250112063f8e5c4f6838a7735a627b7e33ae07d19efd3448f6f8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Misa Esports | 62c | 1,078$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Misa Esports | 65c | 1,065$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Misa Esports | 57c | 865.41$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lilmix | 55c | 759.98$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 30c | 671.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Lilmix | 58c | 603.06$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.79 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lilmix | 39c | 534.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Lilmix | 24c | 417.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lilmix | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Misa Esports | 63c | 242.06$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 75c | 215.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lilmix | 31c | 207.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Lilmix | 49c | 192.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 62c | 176.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix | 27c | 159.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Lilmix | 32c | 156.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 64c | 153.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed Lilmix | 40c | 145.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Lilmix | 28c | 125.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix | 34c | 110.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 57c | 108.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Lilmix | 28c | 107.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Lilmix | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lilmix | 32c | 99.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Lilmix | 29c | 96.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lilmix | 35c | 96.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Misa Esports | 62c | 91.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lilmix | 26c | 71.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Lilmix | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix | 31c | 67.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lilmix | 24c | 60.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix | 30c | 57.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lilmix | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lilmix | 30c | 44.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Lilmix | 45c | 44.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 43.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1a92backed Misa Esports | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Misa Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lilmix | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed Lilmix | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 61c | 22.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.