CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3521c33e8811e33a0c52a708c4614dfb2201efcffe60a1b98c79e1ec0d3ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 63c | 4,445$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.72 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix | 37c | 4,040$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lilmix | 24c | 2,918$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.39 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Misa Esports | 63c | 2,836$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.4 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Lilmix | 24c | 2,645$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.44 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 38c | 2,336$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.42 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 66c | 2,214$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 2,137$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Lilmix | 37c | 1,756$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.64 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lilmix | 12c | 1,751$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix | 24c | 1,719$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 25c | 1,718$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix | 36c | 1,451$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.16 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Lilmix | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lilmix | 22c | 1,331$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Misa Esports | 64c | 1,212$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.87 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Lilmix | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Misa Esports | 62c | 1,016$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.24 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lilmix | 36c | 1,014$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…294cbacked Lilmix | 43c | 933.61$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Lilmix | 36c | 923.84$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Misa Esports | 64c | 895.55$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 646.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 12c | 598.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Misa Esports | 63c | 589.67$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Misa Esports | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 65c | 543.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lilmix | 34c | 518.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed Misa Esports | 63c | 420.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lilmix | 35c | 410.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Lilmix | 43c | 407.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Lilmix | 25c | 403.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 397.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lilmix | 26c | 381.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…59a0backed Lilmix | 31c | 361.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Lilmix | 7c | 358.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix | 27c | 345.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed Lilmix | 16c | 320.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 73c | 306.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lilmix | 14c | 302.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 299.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 23c | 295.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Lilmix | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Lilmix | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Lilmix | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Misa Esports | 72c | 259.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Lilmix | 37c | 251.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Misa Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Misa Esports | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed Lilmix | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…9609backed Misa Esports | 60c | 242.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Lilmix | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Lilmix | 23c | 213.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 210.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Misa Esports | 71c | 201.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Lilmix | 19c | 200.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Lilmix | 35c | 198.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Lilmix | 20c | 185.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Lilmix | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Lilmix | 33c | 179.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 172.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Misa Esports | 79c | 171.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 64c | 171$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…6984backed Misa Esports | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Misa Esports | 63c | 166.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 165.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Misa Esports | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…31bfbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 159.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Lilmix | 36c | 156.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lilmix | 19c | 155.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Lilmix | 19c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Misa Esports | 66c | 139.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Misa Esports | 63c | 138.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix | 22c | 137.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Misa Esports | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lilmix | 45c | 134.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 134.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Misa Esports | 65c | 133.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Misa Esports | 66c | 130.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 124.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lilmix | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 119.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix | 9c | 118.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Misa Esports | 64c | 117.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Misa Esports | 68c | 114.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Lilmix | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…349fbacked Lilmix | 44c | 109.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed Misa Esports | 69c | 108.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Lilmix | 43c | 103.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 102.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…3fa0backed Lilmix | 17c | 100.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Lilmix | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked Lilmix | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 99.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Lilmix | 38c | 99.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lilmix | 17c | 97.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Misa Esports | 70c | 96.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Misa Esports | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lilmix | 31c | 89.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.