TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Iva Jovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iva Jovicof Tatjana Maria, Iva Jovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tatjana Maria7c17,818$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.68,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tatjana Maria11c17,400$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.933,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tatjana Maria6c10,459$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.074,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Tatjana Maria4c9,323$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8837047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Tatjana Maria29c8,984$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.4456651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tatjana Maria9c6,898$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Tatjana Maria5c4,328$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.382,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Iva Jovic71c3,954$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.863030%9 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tatjana Maria7c3,601$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tatjana Maria28c3,482$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.831,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tatjana Maria26c2,312$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Tatjana Maria34c2,000$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.592,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tatjana Maria6c1,738$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.252,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Tatjana Maria32c1,519$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.9810440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tatjana Maria36c1,400$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.8660943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Tatjana Maria15c1,220$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.717436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Iva Jovic78c1,157$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.234,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Tatjana Maria30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf62…54d4backed Tatjana Maria19c999.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iva Jovic71c993.63$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iva Jovic70c867.83$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Tatjana Maria35c866.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Tatjana Maria24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Tatjana Maria32c746.88$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23929649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Tatjana Maria9c739.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Tatjana Maria29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037728.6%22 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Tatjana Maria32c697.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5821524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Iva Jovic71c617.6$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.87544%33 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Iva Jovic70c500.01$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.341,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Iva Jovic70c500$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.421,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Iva Jovic68c489.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.283447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Tatjana Maria32c462.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7728237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Tatjana Maria35c459.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4692237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tatjana Maria20c443.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tatjana Maria22c384.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.521,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Iva Jovic70c375$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tatjana Maria11c357.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Tatjana Maria31c333$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2338550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…d8acbacked Iva Jovic64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.57452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Tatjana Maria28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8448941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Iva Jovic67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Iva Jovic75c286.56$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.153,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Tatjana Maria18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Tatjana Maria6c253.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tatjana Maria32c244.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1849632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tatjana Maria31c240.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Iva Jovic64c194.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1838446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Iva Jovic66c177$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1824851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Tatjana Maria30c169.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8521554%116 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tatjana Maria30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Iva Jovic71c113.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.046749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Iva Jovic75c112.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Tatjana Maria18c112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6232726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Iva Jovic69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Iva Jovic71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2935457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d69…ab3abacked Iva Jovic71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Iva Jovic70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Tatjana Maria31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.948637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Tatjana Maria30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Iva Jovic71c83.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Iva Jovic68c80.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.473,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7efb…a83abacked Iva Jovic71c71.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.838529.4%25 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Tatjana Maria31c65.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012658.7%74 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e9…c764backed Iva Jovic66c65.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Iva Jovic71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.855556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff7…d9d4backed Tatjana Maria31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925020.8%52 W · 198 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Iva Jovic67c60.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Tatjana Maria32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.252035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Tatjana Maria30c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2367848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Iva Jovic70c57.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.198743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Iva Jovic65c53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5532952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Iva Jovic68c52.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.793,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Iva Jovic70c50.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.062532%8 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Tatjana Maria30c50.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1920655.3%114 W · 92 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Iva Jovic69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Tatjana Maria31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Tatjana Maria35c42.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7272638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Iva Jovic70c41.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8123742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Iva Jovic70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Iva Jovic69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Tatjana Maria36c39.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9978957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Iva Jovic69c35.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Iva Jovic70c33.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9230055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Iva Jovic72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2438866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd5…805abacked Iva Jovic71c32.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Tatjana Maria32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015856.3%89 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Iva Jovic69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Iva Jovic72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7859366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Iva Jovic71c27.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Iva Jovic77c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.091090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+88%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Iva Jovic64c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4324349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Iva Jovic71c22.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4825659%151 W · 105 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4546…7354backed Iva Jovic70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.437166.2%47 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…98e4backed Iva Jovic63c21.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Iva Jovic69c20.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Iva Jovic75c20.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Iva Jovic69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Iva Jovic70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Iva Jovic73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.410678.3%83 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Iva Jovic67c19.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4520566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.