Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5a4c4b9a656784bfbcccc8c18fd3e588c4ee63e09e6b3da52ad58981ead3e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,219$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 3,150$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 2,428$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,566$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.21 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 1,467$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 495.77$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 8c | 472.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 25c | 469.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 458.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 27c | 375.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 361.46$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 319.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 312.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 291.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 212$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 31c | 205.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 71c | 201.73$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 26c | 153.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 27c | 132.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 129.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 124.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 65c | 72.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 61.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 27c | 60.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 56.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 54.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 75c | 53.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 51.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 35.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked No | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 76c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 24.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 75c | 18.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.