Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d497aff97516b64fccd061b5217524462dbd721235c8b176a5a3e974ebad6b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 6,532$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.1 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 2,462$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.12 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 1,801$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.72 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 1,577$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.16 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 74c | 1,534$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 73c | 1,231$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.72 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,062$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 69c | 810.66$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 27c | 590.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 506.78$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 25c | 310$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 25c | 310$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 31c | 287.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 44c | 216$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 214.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 205$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 158.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 74c | 144.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 32c | 132.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 119.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 16c | 94.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 28c | 93.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 88.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 19c | 84.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 73c | 75.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 73.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 27c | 67.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 52.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 52.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 28c | 48.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 78c | 47.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 44.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 37.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 27.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.