Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming (BO3) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3bd770f42c926f9b4b9435068cb2472a7a106b77da66bb4521bf483d1cb4d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deer Gamingof The Ruddy Sack, Deer Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8728…0882backed Deer Gaming | 13c | 23,569$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,527.06 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Deer Gaming | 19c | 2,475$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.46 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Deer Gaming | 16c | 1,935$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.21 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Deer Gaming | 14c | 1,092$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.56 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked The Ruddy Sack | 52c | 750.75$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.98 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Deer Gaming | 28c | 600.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Deer Gaming | 60c | 507.38$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Deer Gaming | 20c | 506.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 707 | 57%403 W · 304 L | +35.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…246cbacked Deer Gaming | 67c | 432.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 273 | 52.4%143 W · 130 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 17c | 428.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed The Ruddy Sack | 79c | 350$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 464 | 64%297 W · 167 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Deer Gaming | 78c | 306.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Deer Gaming | 4c | 305$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Deer Gaming | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 584 | 57.7%337 W · 247 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Deer Gaming | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Deer Gaming | 20c | 294.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Deer Gaming | 8c | 291.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.06 | 449 | 38.1%171 W · 278 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Deer Gaming | 15c | 267.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 358 | 35.5%127 W · 231 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…f0a3backed Deer Gaming | 80c | 258.73$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Deer Gaming | 28c | 203.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed The Ruddy Sack | 23c | 195.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Deer Gaming | 69c | 174.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Deer Gaming | 60c | 167.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Deer Gaming | 40c | 163.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed Deer Gaming | 9c | 161.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Deer Gaming | 40c | 155.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed The Ruddy Sack | 16c | 155.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Deer Gaming | 39c | 153.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Deer Gaming | 30c | 148.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked The Ruddy Sack | 23c | 147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Deer Gaming | 39c | 125.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed The Ruddy Sack | 11c | 117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Deer Gaming | 34c | 113.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Deer Gaming | 36c | 109.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked Deer Gaming | 14c | 102.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Deer Gaming | 11c | 101.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Deer Gaming | 31c | 88.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Deer Gaming | 17c | 85.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Deer Gaming | 41c | 68.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Deer Gaming | 59c | 62.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…aaaebacked The Ruddy Sack | 40c | 61.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Deer Gaming | 20c | 60.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed The Ruddy Sack | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked The Ruddy Sack | 23c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Deer Gaming | 27c | 52.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed The Ruddy Sack | 80c | 50.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 535 | 43.4%232 W · 303 L | +33.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed The Ruddy Sack | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed The Ruddy Sack | 29c | 45.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Deer Gaming | 57c | 42.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 39c | 35.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 398 | 7%28 W · 370 L | -123.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…837cbacked The Ruddy Sack | 41c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Deer Gaming | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 32.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…3fe0backed Deer Gaming | 57c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 56c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed The Ruddy Sack | 42c | 25.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed The Ruddy Sack | 49c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed The Ruddy Sack | 48c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…506dbacked Deer Gaming | 65c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked The Ruddy Sack | 69c | 19.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThe Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Deer Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDeer Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.