TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0b7…837c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Valorant at 49 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 2 Winnerbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$12.72
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$18.04
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$25.76
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+52%+$5.89
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.86
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$14.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: NRG Esports vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cupid Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
LoL: NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS vs White Dragons - Game 2 Winnerbacked NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
LoL: BOMBA Team vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$22.94
LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.