Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Jiaqi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60329fa5d466418c71683a05cc8a2e5a626e95f4a361e4c37d7302ade1c2f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Rina Saigo, Jiaqi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Jiaqi Wang | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiaqi Wang | 30c | 2,933$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Jiaqi Wang | 13c | 1,288$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Jiaqi Wang | 6c | 1,008$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Jiaqi Wang | 37c | 939.19$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Rina Saigo | 55c | 674.78$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.83 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Rina Saigo | 49c | 634.21$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.75 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rina Saigo | 17c | 601.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rina Saigo | 76c | 519.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Rina Saigo | 75c | 496.35$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jiaqi Wang | 40c | 484.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Jiaqi Wang | 26c | 451.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Rina Saigo | 54c | 401.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rina Saigo | 62c | 384.03$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jiaqi Wang | 15c | 380.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jiaqi Wang | 46c | 351.62$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…55ccbacked Jiaqi Wang | 32c | 309$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Jiaqi Wang | 5c | 258.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Jiaqi Wang | 29c | 213.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Jiaqi Wang | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Jiaqi Wang | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Rina Saigo | 41c | 169.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Rina Saigo | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rina Saigo | 75c | 147.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rina Saigo | 44c | 144.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Rina Saigo | 52c | 141.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Jiaqi Wang | 15c | 134.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rina Saigo | 57c | 130.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Rina Saigo | 48c | 125.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 60c | 124.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Jiaqi Wang | 49c | 108.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Jiaqi Wang | 59c | 107.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Rina Saigo | 47c | 105.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rina Saigo | 63c | 104$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rina Saigo | 62c | 102.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Jiaqi Wang | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jiaqi Wang | 45c | 93.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Jiaqi Wang | 39c | 92.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rina Saigo | 61c | 91.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 85.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…e4c4backed Jiaqi Wang | 54c | 85.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…bf37backed Jiaqi Wang | 29c | 82.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Rina Saigo | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Rina Saigo | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jiaqi Wang | 46c | 69.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Jiaqi Wang | 40c | 69.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Rina Saigo | 50c | 68.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Rina Saigo | 52c | 62.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Rina Saigo | 42c | 53.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Rina Saigo | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rina Saigo | 53c | 49.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Rina Saigo | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Rina Saigo | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2585…d058backed Jiaqi Wang | 30c | 37.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jiaqi Wang | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Rina Saigo | 47c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Jiaqi Wang | 37c | 34.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Rina Saigo | 64c | 30.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Jiaqi Wang | 63c | 28.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Jiaqi Wang | 43c | 25.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jiaqi Wang | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Jiaqi Wang | 51c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Rina Saigo | 61c | 17.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.