CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b03f57de4f21612cb3b2b1812b38e8742dbc4735ba4db8c9793ed941cff9816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Betclic Apogee Esports, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 1,639$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.29 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 996.3$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.16 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Eternal Fire | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Eternal Fire | 7c | 495.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 212.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Eternal Fire | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 199.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 68c | 188.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 12c | 118.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 106.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Eternal Fire | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 99.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 66.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 53.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…cfa8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 45.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 31.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 67c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)Betclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.