Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238f2f9262890b557ffd1452897c6bad0ab12c75b78d2ac90f5e439f6289e868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MI Cape Townof Joburg Super Kings, MI Cape Town
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Joburg Super Kings | 21c | 3,614$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.69 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 2,346$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.13 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed MI Cape Town | 80c | 1,827$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.84 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Cape Town | 77c | 1,077$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Joburg Super Kings | 3c | 861.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Joburg Super Kings | 29c | 849.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed MI Cape Town | 54c | 797.07$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Joburg Super Kings | 9c | 561.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 43c | 312.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Joburg Super Kings | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Joburg Super Kings | 16c | 276.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI Cape Town | 59c | 275.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 5c | 226.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd407…0e41backed Joburg Super Kings | 18c | 219.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Joburg Super Kings | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Joburg Super Kings | 14c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 33c | 188.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joburg Super Kings | 14c | 183.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…de7cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 161.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Joburg Super Kings | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MI Cape Town | 47c | 144.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed MI Cape Town | 76c | 131.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 10c | 122.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Joburg Super Kings | 15c | 116.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed MI Cape Town | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…20e2backed Joburg Super Kings | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Joburg Super Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Joburg Super Kings | 18c | 76.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Joburg Super Kings | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Joburg Super Kings | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Joburg Super Kings | 48c | 66.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…447cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 24c | 59.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked MI Cape Town | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed MI Cape Town | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked MI Cape Town | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MI Cape Town | 75c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.