Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2edf934441fb84f1843cb806268c28346ecb0dbc7616d9546f85f04c5470a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 55c | 39,397$21,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,778.59 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 17,941$8,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 45c | 6,304$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 5,899$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Over | 45c | 3,348$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 45c | 1,485$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 54c | 1,043$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 58c | 970.94$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 61c | 813.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Over | 45c | 709.42$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.24 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 45c | 613.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 510.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 51c | 462.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 47c | 411.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 365.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 348.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 56c | 345.56$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 56c | 339.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 223.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 56c | 200.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 45c | 178.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Over | 41c | 159.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 157.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 108.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Under | 74c | 103.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 45c | 90.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 62.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 28c | 62.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 45c | 46.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 56c | 44.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Under | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 80c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 158.5this page
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls ColonelsNew Orleans Privateers won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 156.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 157.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-3.5)New Orleans Privateers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.