Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a8d32c9c783a985e1106234541593d399a9d0f2acf576ae7471513b9ab1123
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Orleans Privateersof Nicholls Colonels, New Orleans Privateers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 4,171$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.32 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 1,745$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.85 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 603.92$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 470$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Orleans Privateers | 44c | 454.23$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Orleans Privateers | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 182$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 169.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked New Orleans Privateers | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Orleans Privateers | 44c | 147.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed New Orleans Privateers | 47c | 121.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 108.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 80.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked New Orleans Privateers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nicholls Colonels | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Nicholls Colonels | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-3.5)this page
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls ColonelsNew Orleans Privateers won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 156.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 157.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 158.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.