Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1b6f0c480939d9d32046d5bb29a5614ef6a2af85d827dbe95c9ed9e5a56c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 56c | 10,674$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 42c | 5,356$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.91 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 5,160$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 59c | 1,629$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.81 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.37 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 1,300$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 45c | 531.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 45c | 157.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 104.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 57c | 100.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 56c | 96.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 90.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 88.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 57c | 78.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 73.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…0849backed Over | 43c | 64.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 56c | 53.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 159.5this page
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls ColonelsNew Orleans Privateers won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 156.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 157.5Under won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-3.5)New Orleans Privateers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.