CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33dcc5fd74720426f42193ae8803c5ca0f7366cf4198ed6498bf7bad9da3f6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 24,129$11,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,643.24 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 6,976$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.88 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed KOLESIE | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 4,005$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.99 | 861 | 58.1%500 W · 361 L | +59.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed KOLESIE | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed KOLESIE | 53c | 1,774$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.02 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed KOLESIE | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed KOLESIE | 53c | 1,474$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.58 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed KOLESIE | 52c | 1,375$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.33 | 464 | 43.1%200 W · 264 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 1,117$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 1,003$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.27 | 231 | 54.5%126 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 984.98$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.49 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed KOLESIE | 53c | 909.51$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed KOLESIE | 52c | 714.02$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.73 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed KOLESIE | 53c | 641.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked KOLESIE | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed KOLESIE | 53c | 536.06$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 528.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked KOLESIE | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 368.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed KOLESIE | 53c | 311.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed KOLESIE | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked KOLESIE | 51c | 292$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed KOLESIE | 50c | 289.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked KOLESIE | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 254.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-RUBY | 6c | 245.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed KOLESIE | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 211.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed KOLESIE | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed KOLESIE | 53c | 196.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…a59bbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 152.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed KOLESIE | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed KOLESIE | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked KOLESIE | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 340 | 39.4%134 W · 206 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed KOLESIE | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,096 | 37.6%412 W · 684 L | +34.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 45.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked KOLESIE | 51c | 44.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked KOLESIE | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e39…32c6backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 34.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KOLESIE | 48c | 33.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed KOLESIE | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed KOLESIE | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed KOLESIE | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed KOLESIE | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.