TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed BNK FEARX55c12,352$6,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.997839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nongshim Red Force45c9,987$4,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,468.4741644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed BNK FEARX56c7,643$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.0720438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Nongshim Red Force3c6,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180623.2%2 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX59c5,915$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.8626246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f1…9f40backed Nongshim Red Force44c4,526$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.3760%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nongshim Red Force47c3,787$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.4785746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nongshim Red Force32c3,687$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.551,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Nongshim Red Force9c3,663$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6816040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Nongshim Red Force29c3,400$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98642050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed Nongshim Red Force21c3,358$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70052747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim Red Force40c3,169$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.151,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BNK FEARX69c3,121$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.191,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim Red Force10c2,674$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.371,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Nongshim Red Force45c2,626$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18080732.8%265 W · 542 L-44.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed BNK FEARX55c2,385$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.321448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Nongshim Red Force45c2,239$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9643151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force42c2,125$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.543,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked BNK FEARX57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1921740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Nongshim Red Force25c1,850$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Nongshim Red Force9c1,605$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked BNK FEARX60c1,385$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6983941%344 W · 495 L-37.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed BNK FEARX53c1,367$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.3723439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Nongshim Red Force43c1,350$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.1750547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Nongshim Red Force21c1,235$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3469041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Nongshim Red Force42c1,054$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6123547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Nongshim Red Force45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.996139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nongshim Red Force26c984.08$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6970443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Nongshim Red Force9c921.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9574462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed Nongshim Red Force9c914.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0726346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Nongshim Red Force12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5612055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim Red Force36c640$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.850643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed BNK FEARX57c634.26$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.266352.4%33 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Nongshim Red Force12c607.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5246033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nongshim Red Force19c600$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11629536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Nongshim Red Force44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26440347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Nongshim Red Force13c590.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7920550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4173…3d21backed Nongshim Red Force2c588.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Nongshim Red Force15c534.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Nongshim Red Force42c528.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Nongshim Red Force10c520$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.839239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed BNK FEARX60c448.17$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.694134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX57c430.75$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.221,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nongshim Red Force44c426.79$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7924529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bb…7148backed BNK FEARX62c406.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.18757.5%50 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BNK FEARX72c376.2$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8170162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Nongshim Red Force45c370.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9136260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX66c364$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.881,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked BNK FEARX59c339.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.714751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BNK FEARX61c327.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.71,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Nongshim Red Force39c316.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0512433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Nongshim Red Force20c314.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7975342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked Nongshim Red Force11c310$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.97647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Nongshim Red Force39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11721848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Nongshim Red Force17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Nongshim Red Force6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Nongshim Red Force34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed BNK FEARX57c289.69$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.574847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf7e…a3e6backed Nongshim Red Force14c284.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9146…7246backed BNK FEARX58c273.57$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.95536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Nongshim Red Force10c270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Nongshim Red Force14c253.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528923.5%68 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed BNK FEARX79c229.97$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Nongshim Red Force45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Nongshim Red Force42c214.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.751,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim Red Force26c214.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Nongshim Red Force10c214.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.528211%31 W · 251 L-19.9wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Nongshim Red Force12c200.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6531153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed BNK FEARX55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9026865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a3…44edbacked Nongshim Red Force14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked BNK FEARX67c177.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.234045%18 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…60afbacked Nongshim Red Force15c168.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539747.9%190 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd83b…af3abacked BNK FEARX63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.735464.8%35 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd198…8797backed BNK FEARX80c158$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0518362.3%114 W · 69 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Nongshim Red Force45c155.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8830632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked BNK FEARX57c154.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3922646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Nongshim Red Force19c136$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8418741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed BNK FEARX79c126.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.968433.3%28 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd710…a095backed Nongshim Red Force18c119.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62c…32b1backed BNK FEARX64c116.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.318562.4%53 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd690…93a6backed BNK FEARX63c113.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9210160.4%61 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Nongshim Red Force44c111.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9712640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BNK FEARX57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.384050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Nongshim Red Force46c108.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.563231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Nongshim Red Force38c106.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…7345backed BNK FEARX57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2619541%80 W · 115 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Nongshim Red Force22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Nongshim Red Force19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nongshim Red Force44c97.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1116639.2%65 W · 101 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Nongshim Red Force43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Nongshim Red Force25c91.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7813544.4%60 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed BNK FEARX58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2146846.8%219 W · 249 L-23.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Nongshim Red Force27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.977450%37 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08d…580fbacked Nongshim Red Force28c77.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed BNK FEARX68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7553047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Nongshim Red Force31c74.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3216546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Nongshim Red Force42c70.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Nongshim Red Force43c69.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.530255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…78cbbacked BNK FEARX60c66.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.563053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.