TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed BNK FEARX55c42,040$22,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,116.097839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Nongshim Red Force46c15,039$6,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,862.888146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Nongshim Red Force45c12,870$5,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80880832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim Red Force43c9,387$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.191,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nongshim Red Force43c8,598$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.311,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Nongshim Red Force51c6,744$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.0126246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX53c5,992$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.572,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4840…41f3backed Nongshim Red Force2c5,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120623.2%2 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim Red Force44c3,959$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.91,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Nongshim Red Force54c3,602$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.9320438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f1…9f40backed Nongshim Red Force45c3,329$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.9860%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX53c2,622$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.061,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX57c2,373$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.7525952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nongshim Red Force45c2,268$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.685746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Nongshim Red Force46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9850547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Nongshim Red Force46c2,173$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.584041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Nongshim Red Force24c2,102$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.354045%18 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed BNK FEARX73c2,045$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.210653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Nongshim Red Force35c2,006$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.7431153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d4…c718backed BNK FEARX51c1,962$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.957842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Nongshim Red Force48c1,899$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91812338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BNK FEARX52c1,853$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.6285046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nongshim Red Force43c1,606$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7815945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed BNK FEARX55c1,558$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.1146153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nongshim Red Force48c1,550$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.031,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked BNK FEARX76c1,324$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.321957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed BNK FEARX54c1,297$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.718744.9%84 W · 103 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed BNK FEARX53c1,203$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.26259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1301…cd9abacked BNK FEARX74c1,069$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.824247.6%20 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed BNK FEARX63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed Nongshim Red Force3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.31,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Nongshim Red Force3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34429.5%4 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick5cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Nongshim Red Force44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44048448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BNK FEARX51c991.27$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.721,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Nongshim Red Force48c897.06$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1167276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Nongshim Red Force14c852$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX63c850.38$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.811,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed BNK FEARX52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed BNK FEARX63c784.11$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.166248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Nongshim Red Force2c721.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked BNK FEARX52c717.53$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.81,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…c4b2backed BNK FEARX65c710.18$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6626861.6%165 W · 103 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Nongshim Red Force49c700$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34221848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX52c676.83$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.131,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed BNK FEARX55c660$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Nongshim Red Force42c650$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.56139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Nongshim Red Force49c614.84$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2843151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BNK FEARX72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.621,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Nongshim Red Force47c598.75$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nongshim Red Force50c580.72$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Nongshim Red Force45c492.03$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8369041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Nongshim Red Force47c486.01$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim Red Force42c469.48$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5450643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Nongshim Red Force44c455.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Nongshim Red Force35c450.17$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7121857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9146…7246backed Nongshim Red Force45c444.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Nongshim Red Force11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443020%6 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Nongshim Red Force43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17286758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Nongshim Red Force50c381.82$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed BNK FEARX54c369.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.936656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed BNK FEARX34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19852538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nongshim Red Force50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Nongshim Red Force13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed BNK FEARX52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14464553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…d0f1backed Nongshim Red Force51c258.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed BNK FEARX61c257.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.387869.2%54 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08d…580fbacked BNK FEARX59c257.14$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Nongshim Red Force51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Nongshim Red Force40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Nongshim Red Force43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Nongshim Red Force19c232.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.182420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nongshim Red Force79c230$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.944843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed BNK FEARX53c228.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.193253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed BNK FEARX35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9755…eab0backed BNK FEARX52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Nongshim Red Force72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6829536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked BNK FEARX28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BNK FEARX56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Nongshim Red Force51c197.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BNK FEARX53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc4…2396backed Nongshim Red Force57c162.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked BNK FEARX65c154.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2718755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Nongshim Red Force46c138.07$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5130632%98 W · 208 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Nongshim Red Force71c123.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.761,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked BNK FEARX64c123.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8314153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed Nongshim Red Force38c119.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BNK FEARX54c117.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1854054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Nongshim Red Force33c116.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9233251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Nongshim Red Force46c113.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0466947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Nongshim Red Force71c108.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.648353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed BNK FEARX55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Nongshim Red Force14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.337735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BNK FEARX54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4684050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed BNK FEARX54c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.161353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Nongshim Red Force49c96.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.866116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked BNK FEARX57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4922646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Nongshim Red Force47c95.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.549254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.