Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Anhelina Kalinina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10598b8d29d592cafe11dcad6a4057926a022cc68c83d37f7329f8eeefa2a841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Kalinina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kalinina | 32c | 1,650$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Bondar | 77c | 1,111$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kalinina | 59c | 1,103$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.66 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bondar | 48c | 652.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Bondar | 29c | 591.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bondar | 28c | 355.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Bondar | 36c | 348.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kalinina | 13c | 328.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kalinina | 48c | 302.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Kalinina | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Kalinina | 65c | 286.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Kalinina | 75c | 230.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bondar | 29c | 207.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalinina | 65c | 206.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Bondar | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Bondar | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Kalinina | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Kalinina | 70c | 142.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kalinina | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kalinina | 10c | 138.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bondar | 35c | 119.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Bondar | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bondar | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Bondar | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Kalinina | 56c | 63.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Bondar | 28c | 62.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Kalinina | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Kalinina | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Kalinina | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Kalinina | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bondar | 35c | 34.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Bondar | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Kalinina | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Bondar | 72c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Bondar | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Kalinina | 42c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Bondar | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Bondar | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Anhelina Kalininathis page
- Bondar vs. Kalinina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bondar vs. Kalinina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)Bondar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.