CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d25269858d8fea4a7ebf2a92da99ed9807c8f352a35ff9e2ed934f985169371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof los kogutos, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed los kogutos | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.96 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Acend | 57c | 6,214$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.12 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 44c | 1,343$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.89 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Acend | 57c | 719.52$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Acend | 57c | 630$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Acend | 57c | 503$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Acend | 57c | 405.53$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Acend | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Acend | 56c | 375.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Acend | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Acend | 57c | 345.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Acend | 16c | 342.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Acend | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Acend | 57c | 305.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Acend | 57c | 284.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…3998backed Acend | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Acend | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…13e1backed Acend | 58c | 215$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed los kogutos | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Acend | 56c | 178.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Acend | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed los kogutos | 44c | 151.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Acend | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Acend | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…d7f8backed Acend | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Acend | 57c | 87.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…4bdbbacked Acend | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Acend | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Acend | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked los kogutos | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Acend | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed los kogutos | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed los kogutos | 44c | 47.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Acend | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.