Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Claire Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4984dec89040aa68f200420681061fa2b91c3a8f502259101e03f8a18cbcdfd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liuof Garland, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Liu | 66c | 3,990$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Garland | 34c | 3,478$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.12 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Liu | 45c | 2,378$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.34 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Garland | 54c | 1,333$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Liu | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liu | 59c | 937.26$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Garland | 52c | 781.82$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liu | 41c | 732.38$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.01 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Garland | 7c | 703.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Garland | 34c | 680.36$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Garland | 60c | 631.66$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Liu | 39c | 531.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.07 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Garland | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Garland | 24c | 386.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Garland | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Garland | 61c | 332.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Garland | 24c | 320.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liu | 72c | 285.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Garland | 52c | 266$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Garland | 61c | 247.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liu | 62c | 237.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Garland | 24c | 203.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Liu | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Garland | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Garland | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Liu | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Liu | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Garland | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Garland | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Liu | 76c | 132.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Garland | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Garland | 59c | 109.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Garland | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Garland | 60c | 96.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Liu | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Garland | 33c | 83.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Garland | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Garland | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Garland | 59c | 76.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Garland | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Garland | 34c | 73.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Garland | 55c | 67.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Garland | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Garland | 37c | 62.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Garland | 37c | 61.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Garland | 22c | 60.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Garland | 58c | 60.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Garland | 59c | 60.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Garland | 55c | 60.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Garland | 25c | 60.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Liu | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Garland | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Garland | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Garland | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Garland | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…caf2backed Liu | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Garland | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Liu | 67c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.