Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432a846e9162e82ef4558c7a619c146ad65a12a787ae78c5e0e017b784d701b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 998.93$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over | 60c | 582.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 23c | 435.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.61 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…adcfbacked Over | 54c | 405.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 399.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 306.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 298.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 120.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 118.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 113$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…345bbacked Under | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 33c | 89.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 60c | 83.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 32c | 80.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 79c | 80.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 77.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 75c | 75.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 77cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 19c | 68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 64.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 61.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 22c | 59.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Under | 33c | 58.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 73cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 50c | 34.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Under | 71c | 27.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Under | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 78c | 23.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 78c | 23.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 78c | 23.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 78c | 23.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 78c | 23.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 78c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 78c | 21.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…9ef0backed Over | 80c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 54c | 18.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 60c | 17.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.