Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857752f438e4a6e325bc400fdd6e0a2e8bdbebcfa8bef8efb5670225dc686421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 29c | 5,920$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 2,218$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,214$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.05 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked No | 59c | 1,641$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,121$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 633.59$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 406.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 298.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 76c | 256.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 241.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 63c | 235.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 153.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 75c | 130.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 54c | 77.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 53c | 66.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 48c | 64.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 58c | 53.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 74c | 51.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 77c | 49.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 49.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 77c | 49.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 77c | 49.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 49.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 43.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 59c | 43.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 43.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed No | 76c | 42.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 69c | 35.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 27.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 45c | 26.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 77c | 22.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked No | 68c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked No | 76c | 16.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 78c | 14.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)Paris FC won
- Spread: Paris FC (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.