Tennis · resolved market
Belinda Bencic vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48d12e8fc76027d936e169d73faba7dadb0e90363d73468e9a891ccaff1fdf1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,065 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 1,504$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.87 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 652.95$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.85 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 596.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 556.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.82 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 451.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.57 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 184.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 151.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 104.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 100.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 95.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 54.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…b090backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 23.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belinda Bencic vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)Bencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.