Euroleague · resolved market
Burgos vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca7be132d54a43eaae6d4b941a2e2474e6ebaeec9725eaf4e43a91f799232db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Burgos, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Burgos | 26c | 5,630$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Valencia | 74c | 5,500$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Valencia | 74c | 1,140$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Burgos | 24c | 910.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Burgos | 26c | 910.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ce…ed5abacked Valencia | 73c | 608.05$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Burgos | 24c | 549$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Valencia | 72c | 499.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Burgos | 28c | 460.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burgos | 25c | 435.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Valencia | 74c | 408.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Burgos | 14c | 356.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Valencia | 76c | 316.47$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Burgos | 34c | 294.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Burgos | 24c | 287.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Valencia | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burgos | 25c | 265.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Valencia | 75c | 265.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Burgos | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Burgos | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…8bc1backed Burgos | 32c | 169.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Valencia | 76c | 155.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Valencia | 73c | 136.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Valencia | 75c | 133.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Valencia | 74c | 130.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Valencia | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Valencia | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Burgos | 25c | 105.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Valencia | 72c | 100.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Valencia | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Burgos | 20c | 89.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Valencia | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Burgos | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Valencia | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…14e5backed Valencia | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Valencia | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Burgos | 22c | 63.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Burgos | 17c | 62.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Valencia | 77c | 62.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Valencia | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Burgos | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Burgos | 28c | 57.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Valencia | 79c | 42.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Burgos | 26c | 41.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Valencia | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Burgos | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Valencia | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Burgos | 29c | 34.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…aac7backed Valencia | 73c | 34.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Valencia | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d3…fa7cbacked Valencia | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…7b14backed Valencia | 77c | 17.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.