Tennis · resolved market
Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c982137d0b1b5d99dd10cef0d6f3f968bccb968b274ad7025f75e345c6660e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Over 2.5 | 28c | 2,166$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Over 2.5 | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under 2.5 | 70c | 898.51$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.16 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 70c | 827.8$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…8427backed Under 2.5 | 71c | 703.94$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 611.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 70c | 576.7$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under 2.5 | 72c | 542.4$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under 2.5 | 53c | 281.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over 2.5 | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under 2.5 | 53c | 167.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 53c | 139.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over 2.5 | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…89cabacked Under 2.5 | 66c | 115.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under 2.5 | 74c | 103.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Under 2.5 | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…0801backed Over 2.5 | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over 2.5 | 36c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under 2.5 | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Under 2.5 | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under 2.5 | 74c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over 2.5 | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under 2.5 | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coco Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Gauff vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina MuchovaCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs MuchovaGauff won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.