Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Mboko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a39775f69a2ccf4a0bc9a84fac11daa8fba7fba5c4fb7309559b3d96661989c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Andreeva, Mboko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,545 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa01f…16b9backed Andreeva | 58c | 863.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mboko | 42c | 829.83$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Mboko | 51c | 392.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Andreeva | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mboko | 47c | 350.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andreeva | 49c | 255.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Andreeva | 52c | 192.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Mboko | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Mboko | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 44c | 84.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 54c | 74.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Mboko | 52c | 73.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Andreeva | 49c | 65.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andreeva | 35c | 54.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Andreeva | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Andreeva | 48c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mboko | 48c | 23.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Andreeva | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Mboko | 59c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Mboko | 56c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Mbokothis page
- Andreeva vs. Mboko: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria MbokoVictoria Mboko won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Victoria Mboko: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Mboko (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.