TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Naples: Federico Cina vs Francesco Forti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Francesco Forti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,283 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Francesco Forti11c5,495$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x027f…472abacked Francesco Forti27c3,231$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8594134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Francesco Forti2c3,028$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Francesco Forti10c1,149$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.857057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Federico Cina77c1,000$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5630857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Francesco Forti10c999.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.197724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Francesco Forti12c952.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.54425%11 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Federico Cina73c759.8$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.61,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Federico Cina74c675.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7450458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Francesco Forti12c625.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.14551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19a6…d2acbacked Francesco Forti24c611$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1878…223abacked Francesco Forti24c595$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Francesco Forti26c576.73$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.981,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francesco Forti26c554$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.041,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Francesco Forti17c541.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9224438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5540backed Francesco Forti24c530$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Forti8c513.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Francesco Forti23c486.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.051,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Francesco Forti15c458.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6867836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Federico Cina77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5520670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Federico Cina73c453.13$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.347,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Francesco Forti14c439.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6328322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Francesco Forti23c410.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9235932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Federico Cina75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Federico Cina77c389.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.923461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Francesco Forti20c389.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.983,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Francesco Forti14c379.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.384,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Francesco Forti27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Francesco Forti14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…fc55backed Francesco Forti24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Francesco Forti23c333.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Forti14c319.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.028,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb3…cec3backed Federico Cina76c309$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edf…4822backed Federico Cina76c305$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…21c0backed Federico Cina76c302$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Francesco Forti25c299.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.491,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x647c…bb4abacked Federico Cina76c290$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fd…f4f5backed Federico Cina76c290$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Francesco Forti25c287.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Francesco Forti15c281$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.950644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Federico Cina74c268.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8823965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Federico Cina75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6722465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d11…200fbacked Federico Cina76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Francesco Forti26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Francesco Forti18c219.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.312,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Francesco Forti14c210$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Forti14c165.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.926,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Federico Cina60c165.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6272542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Federico Cina72c156.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Federico Cina67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2541955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Francesco Forti25c147.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Federico Cina75c118.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7155660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Federico Cina75c117.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6824249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54c…6a13backed Francesco Forti10c117.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1414355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Francesco Forti23c116.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Federico Cina74c115.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.971,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Francesco Forti25c105.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.713,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Federico Cina73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…e0f4backed Federico Cina76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Francesco Forti23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Francesco Forti25c71.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.947,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Federico Cina73c68.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6295846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Francesco Forti27c67.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3435040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b54…a860backed Federico Cina76c57.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Federico Cina74c54.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Federico Cina75c51.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.944740.4%19 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Francesco Forti25c51.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Francesco Forti39c50.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Federico Cina64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.892,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Federico Cina65c32.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4817447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Federico Cina67c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4965264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Federico Cina75c30.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8811352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6807…57dbbacked Francesco Forti34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Federico Cina69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994774.5%35 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dcf…87b8backed Federico Cina69c28.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.926842.6%29 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Federico Cina66c28.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Federico Cina71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.177875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa366…0c35backed Federico Cina74c25.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.685669.6%39 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Federico Cina68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.415258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Federico Cina67c15.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.121172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.