Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3590cc5ae4b8803be5783b73ecd7cfd56c6fcebf870cc7ec86c4a1c083c4c634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabe7…038dbacked Yes | 28c | 358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5356backed No | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 253.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 251$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 13c | 168$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 166.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 140.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 120.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 99.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 32c | 81.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 68c | 68.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 65.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 73c | 65.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 26c | 55.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 39.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 77c | 28.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-27?this page
- Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.