MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3659191c0c94b3090780c1fc0e8508d550a8fc561a5d46e153047c6b087d4ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 45c | 130,499$58,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,724.49 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 55c | 115,063$63,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,929.32 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 55c | 23,333$12,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 15,037$6,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,913.54 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Over | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.24 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 56c | 8,969$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.25 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 7,420$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.69 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 7,135$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.34 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 45c | 5,149$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.2 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 54c | 4,862$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.52 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 3,939$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.47 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.6 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Over | 45c | 2,185$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Over | 46c | 2,125$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.28 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 1,770$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 1,197$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 1,023$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 46c | 978.12$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 939.14$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 909.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 59c | 881$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 847.92$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 52c | 745.9$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.59 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 684.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.32 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 45c | 676.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.61 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 44c | 564.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.52 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 54c | 536.15$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 51c | 427.53$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 55c | 401.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 392.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Over | 46c | 357.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 339.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…79bbbacked Under | 50c | 330.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 45c | 314.32$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 46c | 311.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 45c | 300.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 265.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 65c | 264.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 48c | 212.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 55c | 203.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 185.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Under | 53c | 182.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 175.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 57c | 165.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 37c | 142.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 53c | 136.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Under | 77c | 128.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 118.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 56c | 116.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e1…23d9backed Over | 13c | 112.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 57c | 98.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 54c | 95.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Under | 72c | 87.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 53c | 82.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 55c | 76.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Over | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 53c | 69.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 54c | 63.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 47c | 57.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 55c | 55.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 49.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 46c | 48.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 48c | 42.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 42.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 45c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 38.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 53c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 48c | 37.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 37.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 36.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 36.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 53c | 34.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…f5cabacked Over | 47c | 33.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 33.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Over | 46c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 53c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…76a1backed Under | 56c | 26.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 54c | 26.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…bdaabacked Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. New York YankeesAthletics won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.