Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Barcelona: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9211fad86760c411197de04b546bb0aa1218575dba376c64411738b966faba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 55c | 7,124$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.24 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 4,527$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.02 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 48c | 4,241$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 45c | 1,551$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 1,486$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.26 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 1,271$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 966.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 770.34$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Over | 52c | 489.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 44c | 482.94$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 53c | 399.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 296.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 207.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 52c | 148.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 146.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 52c | 143.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 49c | 134.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 47c | 100.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…f1e9backed Under | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 40.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 51c | 30.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 51c | 23.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 48c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Barcelona: O/U 175.5this page
- Spread: Barcelona (-0.5)Barcelona won
- Valencia vs. BarcelonaBarcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.