Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464f93d9c490ee02469ee7e36586a4b954776445b7230f004cea42a0b6552d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,670$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.44 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 52c | 2,650$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 74c | 1,833$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.89 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,517$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 52c | 1,402$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,187$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 709.07$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.36 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 51c | 553.35$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 24c | 452.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 26c | 406$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 17c | 356.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 47c | 343.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 328.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 45c | 290.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 237.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 51c | 229.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 27c | 217.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 179.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 142.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 121.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 116.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 115.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 58c | 109.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 80c | 105.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 45c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 26c | 98.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 28c | 93.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 83.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 77.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 73.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 64c | 58.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 36c | 49.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 49c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 39.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 48c | 32.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 58c | 31.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Under | 43c | 30.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Over | 73c | 26.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Over | 52c | 25.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)Auburn Tigers won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)Auburn Tigers won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-5.5)Auburn Tigers won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)Tulsa Golden Hurricane won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 160.5Over won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 161.5Over won
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.