Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d2e7a931a7df7ed064636a66d1a14e7462118af90122de799254348b918fbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Birrell, Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Birrell | 44c | 9,420$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.33 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Birrell | 49c | 6,062$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.48 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Volynets | 52c | 4,010$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Volynets | 29c | 3,404$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Volynets | 56c | 3,390$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.48 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Volynets | 48c | 2,692$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Birrell | 38c | 2,417$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.57 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Volynets | 57c | 1,832$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.1 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Birrell | 42c | 1,798$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.92 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 50c | 1,665$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Volynets | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Birrell | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.43 | 308 | 45.5%140 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Volynets | 56c | 1,155$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Volynets | 55c | 1,130$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.55 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Volynets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Volynets | 42c | 881$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.83 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 61c | 806.62$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Volynets | 41c | 757$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Volynets | 59c | 736.02$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Volynets | 55c | 591.63$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.82 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Volynets | 56c | 558.52$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Volynets | 56c | 533.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.87 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Birrell | 54c | 522.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Birrell | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Volynets | 27c | 472.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Birrell | 64c | 459.87$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Birrell | 62c | 453.78$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Volynets | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Volynets | 29c | 346.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Volynets | 63c | 315.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Volynets | 35c | 283.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Birrell | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Volynets | 61c | 220.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Volynets | 57c | 209.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Volynets | 23c | 192.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Volynets | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Birrell | 80c | 144.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Volynets | 33c | 138.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Volynets | 56c | 120.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Birrell | 62c | 106.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Volynets | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Birrell | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Birrell | 36c | 94.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Volynets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Volynets | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Birrell | 49c | 62.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Volynets | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Volynets | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5f…b27fbacked Volynets | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…b878backed Birrell | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Volynets | 63c | 47.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Birrell | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Birrell | 67c | 45.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Birrell | 73c | 42.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Volynets | 57c | 41.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Volynets | 59c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Birrell | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Volynets | 60c | 37.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Volynets | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Volynets | 58c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Volynets | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f0c4backed Volynets | 50c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…10c6backed Volynets | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Volynets | 58c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…9270backed Birrell | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Volynets | 44c | 23.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Volynets | 57c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Volynets | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Volynets | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Volynets | 63c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Volynets | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Volynetsthis page
- Birrell vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.