CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d97b0e0582746f33a9f1a1d236342b05b4a895f1786331b895040c0db447a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof M80, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed M80 | 0c | 8,099$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy | 56c | 1,157$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed M80 | 78c | 1,025$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.31 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 933.9$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HEROIC Academy | 49c | 875.18$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked M80 | 18c | 850.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HEROIC Academy | 56c | 734.97$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed M80 | 2c | 664.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked HEROIC Academy | 79c | 617$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed M80 | 18c | 558$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked M80 | 45c | 526.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked HEROIC Academy | 79c | 460.6$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed M80 | 50c | 445.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed M80 | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 344.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed M80 | 17c | 338$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked M80 | 18c | 333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed M80 | 9c | 324.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked M80 | 15c | 311$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed M80 | 47c | 298.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed M80 | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed M80 | 9c | 234$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed M80 | 33c | 173.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…ef2fbacked HEROIC Academy | 23c | 166.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed M80 | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked M80 | 46c | 153.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 55c | 153$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 59c | 141.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked HEROIC Academy | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HEROIC Academy | 46c | 112.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed M80 | 13c | 112$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy | 71c | 111.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed HEROIC Academy | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked M80 | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed M80 | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy | 37c | 67.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 59.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked M80 | 77c | 56.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HEROIC Academy | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked M80 | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed M80 | 38c | 43.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed HEROIC Academy | 54c | 38.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked M80 | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed M80 | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…78ccbacked M80 | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed M80 | 41c | 27.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed M80 | 46c | 25.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked HEROIC Academy | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HEROIC Academy | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - Journey PlayoffsHEROIC Academy won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.